TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd571…9f0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Li vs. Golubic: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Asuncion 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Juan Manuel La Serna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$168.35
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Buse (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$145.22
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Berrettinibacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.27
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Belinda Bencicbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$97.33
Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)backed Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$126.38
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$233
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Alexis Galarneau vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Thionville: Dan Added vs Martin Krumichbacked Dan Added · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Kigali: Jay Clarke vs Calvin Hemerybacked Jay Clarke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$135.15
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Joanna Garland vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$113.33
Set Handicap: McDonald (-1.5) vs Sachko (+1.5)backed Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$276.36
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Whitney Osuigwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Emerson Jones vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+72%+$133.14
Merida Open Akron: Jasmine Paolini vs Katie Boulterbacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$103.38
Lugano: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50.43
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Gael Monfilsbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$142.81
Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$136.5
Tigre 2: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Lautaro Midonbacked Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$149.45
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+46.7%+$125.96
St. Brieuc: Keegan Smith vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Pune: Rio Noguchi vs Sumit Nagalbacked Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$55.73
St. Brieuc: Clement Chidekh vs Roman Safiullinbacked Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+55.6%+$86.23
Pune: Lorenzo Carboni vs Yuta Shimizubacked Carboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.85
Penn Quakers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$123.91
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$99.13
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-7.5)backed Incarnate Word Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98.34
Long Beach State Beach vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.45
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$119.94
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Stonehill Skyhawksbacked Stonehill Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$170.17
Akron Zips vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$172.84
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$106.15
Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$93.49
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$130
American Eagles vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$76.72
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$112.02
North Dakota State Bison vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85
American Eagles vs. Bucknell Bison: O/U 139.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+111.9%+$148.8
Nicholls Colonels vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Brown Bears vs. Dartmouth Big Green: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$78
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Longwood Lancers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$75.83
Presbyterian Blue Hose vs. UNC Asheville Bulldogs: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$92.08
Wagner Seahawks vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 130.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Washington Huskies: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$81.18
Seattle Redhawks vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Amur Khabarovsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$120.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$146.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.