TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

American Eagles vs. Lafayette Leopards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
American Eaglesof American Eagles, Lafayette Leopards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked American Eagles80c7,028$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.861,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked American Eagles64c6,698$4,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.7730249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Lafayette Leopards36c4,854$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.8384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Lafayette Leopards37c3,338$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.731,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed American Eagles65c2,921$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.731,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked American Eagles65c2,483$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.291,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed American Eagles66c1,729$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.112,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards34c1,639$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.3312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lafayette Leopards21c1,608$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.171,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards36c1,555$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.82,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Lafayette Leopards16c1,507$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards11c1,423$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.24,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Lafayette Leopards20c1,372$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6331646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Lafayette Leopards27c1,357$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.451,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Lafayette Leopards37c1,275$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1732751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed American Eagles62c1,208$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.0426254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards23c1,024$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lafayette Leopards38c875$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2237441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lafayette Leopards20c741.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.31,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed American Eagles65c694$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.9823754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed American Eagles73c678$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1849747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Lafayette Leopards35c571$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8578052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Lafayette Leopards33c549.61$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.8393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked American Eagles78c504.53$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2787047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lafayette Leopards21c491$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.082,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed Lafayette Leopards36c487.99$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.778333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Lafayette Leopards33c431.1$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0799045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked American Eagles77c399.84$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked American Eagles64c363.96$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.812,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lafayette Leopards34c362.88$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.763,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Lafayette Leopards35c340$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11925049.2%123 W · 127 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lafayette Leopards30c333.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.433,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed American Eagles76c314$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.591241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…a29dbacked American Eagles70c300.64$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.133855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lafayette Leopards38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Lafayette Leopards32c288.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.189545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed American Eagles69c260$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.424351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lafayette Leopards13c254.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6817627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Lafayette Leopards36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9050745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Lafayette Leopards34c242.4$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4216546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed American Eagles67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked American Eagles61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa325…bc64backed American Eagles68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick50cpaid+56.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Lafayette Leopards34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked American Eagles61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.722638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Lafayette Leopards35c189.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked American Eagles72c172.24$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8171655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Lafayette Leopards33c166.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.038555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked American Eagles62c159.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6827450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Lafayette Leopards47c154$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked American Eagles63c154$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Lafayette Leopards35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.510652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Lafayette Leopards34c147.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3118241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Lafayette Leopards34c147.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Lafayette Leopards25c125.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9262140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Lafayette Leopards12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5733445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lafayette Leopards34c120.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Lafayette Leopards35c101.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x995a…9368backed Lafayette Leopards32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c84…57f8backed Lafayette Leopards32c99.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.261553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed American Eagles79c75.07$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.951,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed American Eagles64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed American Eagles72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4423941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed American Eagles66c68.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.566555.4%36 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed American Eagles70c68.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Lafayette Leopards30c67.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206346%29 W · 34 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Lafayette Leopards22c64.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.019849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lafayette Leopards29c61.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.811,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa01d…0123backed American Eagles64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…49d2backed Lafayette Leopards31c52.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.514151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Lafayette Leopards45c51.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1210347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lafayette Leopards26c50.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.971,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Lafayette Leopards45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.527358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Lafayette Leopards38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Lafayette Leopards23c49.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Lafayette Leopards36c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7819860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed American Eagles48c41.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed American Eagles76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Lafayette Leopards34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf4…fde8backed American Eagles78c32.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked American Eagles67c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.134365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed American Eagles65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.411051.8%57 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x73b2…400fbacked Lafayette Leopards35c29.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Lafayette Leopards35c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1548551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed American Eagles70c26.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b66…a95abacked American Eagles64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed American Eagles67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.396100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60c3…b0f5backed American Eagles64c21.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d17…32d8backed American Eagles79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22564%16 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…70acbacked American Eagles68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed American Eagles65c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked American Eagles67c17.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9139050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed American Eagles64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6313450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.