TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf926…fb21

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 49 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST8333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villanova Wildcats vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$46.64
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Oakland Golden Grizzliesbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.65
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.49
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Wyoming Cowboysbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$37.67
BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.46
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Jackson State Tigersbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.65
Bryant Bulldogs vs. New Hampshire Wildcatsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35.69
Mercer Bears vs. Western Carolina Catamounts: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$82.08
American Eagles vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Lafayette Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$177.77
CSUN Matadors vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+253.1%+$85.3
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$86.08
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
New Haven Chargers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 123.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$34.69
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Virginia Tech Hokiesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
VCU Rams vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$57.96
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.75
Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles vs. Western Illinois Leathernecks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$118.95
Monmouth Hawks vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Monmouth Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.98
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$44.02
Alabama State Hornets vs. Bethune-Cookman Wildcatsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Albany Great Danes vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+163.2%+$35.53
Drexel Dragons vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$58.18
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$125.22
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$43
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$112.2
Nuggets vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.74
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+168.7%+$41.72
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$45.75
Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40.25
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$39
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$77.77
T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$46.96
Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$114.4
Naji Marshall: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+123.3%+$110.42
Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$80.37
Caleb Martin: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$105.25
Caleb Martin: Points O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Vít Krejčí: Points O/U 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65.95
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.72
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Dominick Barlow: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$91.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$54.6
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirdsbacked Springfield Thunderbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.