TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

BYU Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Bearcatsof BYU Cougars, Cincinnati Bearcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,763 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d92…8676backed Cincinnati Bearcats55c21,167$11,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,551.5121149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked BYU Cougars45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked BYU Cougars13c6,908$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.2449345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats74c5,429$4,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.525,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Cincinnati Bearcats56c4,460$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.7735151.9%182 W · 169 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed BYU Cougars47c3,568$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.982630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked BYU Cougars28c3,463$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.0850%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed BYU Cougars45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats57c2,603$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.614245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cincinnati Bearcats55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1254250%21 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked BYU Cougars4c2,466$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.521,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed BYU Cougars1c2,289$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked BYU Cougars45c1,983$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.218349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BYU Cougars37c1,750$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.323,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats77c1,610$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.971,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked BYU Cougars4c1,168$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.581,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed BYU Cougars43c997.87$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.0921549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed BYU Cougars37c858.42$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.532,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked BYU Cougars27c844.79$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.739051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked BYU Cougars25c699.02$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.131837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed BYU Cougars45c624.45$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5379448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed BYU Cougars4c599.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9925325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed BYU Cougars45c500.63$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.284738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats73c495.05$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.574,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed BYU Cougars44c451.08$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4778052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed BYU Cougars46c431$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.261,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Bearcats53c404.63$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.275,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked BYU Cougars43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17255532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed BYU Cougars46c323.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.71,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked BYU Cougars42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked BYU Cougars46c254.29$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9736535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed BYU Cougars45c240.83$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked BYU Cougars45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked BYU Cougars24c218.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed BYU Cougars46c215.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1319238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked BYU Cougars46c215.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed BYU Cougars46c215.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1310846.3%50 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe300…8b9ebacked BYU Cougars46c212.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.593938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked BYU Cougars30c211.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9139742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Cincinnati Bearcats54c203.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked BYU Cougars46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.951,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed BYU Cougars38c199.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.732,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f7…63c3backed BYU Cougars50c198.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Bearcats72c191.04$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.963,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Bearcats55c183.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5357448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Cincinnati Bearcats57c173.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7911257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked BYU Cougars17c171.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.111,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e7…8e7cbacked BYU Cougars13c153.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.921315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-68.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cincinnati Bearcats53c152.48$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.273,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BYU Cougars42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6393941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed BYU Cougars46c140.77$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7521850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed BYU Cougars46c134.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0215850%79 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed BYU Cougars45c132.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed BYU Cougars46c129.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4824649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed BYU Cougars46c129.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.483542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BYU Cougars43c128$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0484854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats54c121.53$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.92,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats66c115.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed BYU Cougars27c112.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3116436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats56c105.27$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.324,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked BYU Cougars45c103$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3550745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed BYU Cougars45c100.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0613447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Cincinnati Bearcats56c99.14$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6210244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BYU Cougars44c96.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.261,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed BYU Cougars33c93.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.431,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e57…b822backed BYU Cougars45c88.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Bearcats55c80.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed BYU Cougars45c74.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.468333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed BYU Cougars45c72.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7120051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…98f1backed Cincinnati Bearcats57c69.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…9f40backed BYU Cougars49c62.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.417655.3%42 W · 34 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Cincinnati Bearcats52c57.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.454946.9%23 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed Cincinnati Bearcats56c53.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3714448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats55c51.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.022,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BYU Cougars45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6933445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Bearcats70c49.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cincinnati Bearcats54c48.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked BYU Cougars41c48.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.839851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Cincinnati Bearcats57c45.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6920834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82f…ba73backed BYU Cougars44c45.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7c…4587backed Cincinnati Bearcats55c45.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Cincinnati Bearcats78c41.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cincinnati Bearcats51c40.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…8a9dbacked BYU Cougars49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cincinnati Bearcats60c40.06$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0357655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed BYU Cougars46c39.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1525837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked BYU Cougars43c36.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Cincinnati Bearcats56c35.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5811552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed BYU Cougars31c35.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked BYU Cougars45c32.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8148551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed BYU Cougars46c32.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.872650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats55c26.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0117945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed BYU Cougars46c24.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats73c23.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3469350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7941…7bfebacked Cincinnati Bearcats79c21.66$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.53132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Bearcats55c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.