TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff0b…befa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10244.1%45 W · 57 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.91
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+102%+$30.34
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$50.01
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$66.77
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.71
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$44.56
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$42.84
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$55.85
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.52
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.01
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$91.5
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.65
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$36.12
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Southern Jaguars: O/U 145.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 140.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.19
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.22
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT4953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.67
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.54
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$44.81
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.06
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Spurs vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Clippers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.78
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Suns (-9.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$64.09
Spread: Suns (-8.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$44.17
Suns vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$711.61
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$17.11
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$57.77
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$33.97
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.27
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$81.2
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Xiao Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$242.81
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38%+$170.91
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+57.4%+$129.13
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$422.44
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$124.4
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.47
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$65.66
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$5.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$17.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$298.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.