Lol · resolved market
LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1958c3bef67e61d438aa4f7b8f576d1cfefc284bd6627608976337da8704d540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BRUTEof BRUTE, DMG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,675 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed DMG Esports | 17c | 4,636$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.12 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed DMG Esports | 32c | 3,086$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.75 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BRUTE | 66c | 2,035$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.86 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked DMG Esports | 6c | 1,572$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked BRUTE | 65c | 1,227$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed BRUTE | 68c | 923.04$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.37 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed DMG Esports | 42c | 912$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.82 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed DMG Esports | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DMG Esports | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BRUTE | 58c | 314.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.28 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DMG Esports | 25c | 305.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DMG Esports | 24c | 296.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked DMG Esports | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed BRUTE | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed BRUTE | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BRUTE | 68c | 121.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked BRUTE | 66c | 113.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BRUTE | 56c | 113.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed DMG Esports | 19c | 106$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BRUTE | 56c | 105.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DMG Esports | 15c | 103.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DMG Esports | 35c | 98.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…8ea6backed DMG Esports | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed BRUTE | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed DMG Esports | 34c | 35.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked BRUTE | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked BRUTE | 64c | 15.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed BRUTE | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BRT (-1.5) vs DMG Esports (+1.5)DMG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group ADMG Esports won
- LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports - Game 1 WinnerDMG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.