Lol · resolved market
LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf03ef57cc02a9911486424d87fadfe4bc74f7422b9de4b06ffeb04c89c2feb34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DMG Esportsof BRUTE, DMG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,924 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed DMG Esports | 51c | 4,534$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.75 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed DMG Esports | 67c | 3,940$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.02 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed DMG Esports | 50c | 2,561$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.56 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed DMG Esports | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed BRUTE | 29c | 2,391$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.74 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BRUTE | 58c | 1,878$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.93 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BRUTE | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked BRUTE | 29c | 1,284$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.49 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed BRUTE | 30c | 1,232$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.21 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked DMG Esports | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed BRUTE | 42c | 968$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed BRUTE | 50c | 966.61$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.9 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed DMG Esports | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed BRUTE | 2c | 746.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked DMG Esports | 48c | 678.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed DMG Esports | 59c | 652.96$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed BRUTE | 57c | 647.76$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.02 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked DMG Esports | 57c | 635.18$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed DMG Esports | 46c | 574.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.25 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked BRUTE | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed BRUTE | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BRUTE | 30c | 470$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BRUTE | 50c | 468.12$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed BRUTE | 38c | 391.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DMG Esports | 55c | 348.93$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed DMG Esports | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed BRUTE | 37c | 278.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…1700backed BRUTE | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed BRUTE | 59c | 183.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.57 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed BRUTE | 55c | 182.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BRUTE | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed BRUTE | 54c | 162.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked BRUTE | 54c | 160.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked BRUTE | 31c | 160.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed DMG Esports | 69c | 135.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked DMG Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed DMG Esports | 47c | 94.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed BRUTE | 54c | 89.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DMG Esports | 36c | 83.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…af7dbacked BRUTE | 64c | 81.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked BRUTE | 53c | 78.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DMG Esports | 68c | 72.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked BRUTE | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed BRUTE | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed DMG Esports | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked DMG Esports | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed DMG Esports | 56c | 50.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed DMG Esports | 34c | 41.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b299backed BRUTE | 61c | 41.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked DMG Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed DMG Esports | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BRUTE | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…8ea6backed BRUTE | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed BRUTE | 53c | 28.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed DMG Esports | 65c | 28.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…f9f1backed DMG Esports | 62c | 25.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked BRUTE | 44c | 24.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed DMG Esports | 58c | 23.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed BRUTE | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed DMG Esports | 60c | 22.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked BRUTE | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked BRUTE | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BRT (-1.5) vs DMG Esports (+1.5)DMG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group ADMG Esports won
- LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports - Game 2 WinnerBRUTE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.