TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6135…efa0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT13037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,421Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,421.39
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,592.27
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,985Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,323.01
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$5,192.47
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.57
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,854.29
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.39
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.72
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,784Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,911.8
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,434.44
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,235Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$4,563.64
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.37
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,328Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$2,364.67
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,898Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$3,053.35
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,185.98
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,078.44
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700.4
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.79
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$476.18
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,178.61
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,149.05
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.2
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,150
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$636.04
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650.06
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$399.51
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,443Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,229.12
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+192.6%+$1,659.99
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+137.4%+$199.84
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.69
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Power Rangers (BO3) - CCT Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.32
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$499.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.03
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.29
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.85
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.98
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$486
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36.44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.99
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$438.93
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.87
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+177.5%+$610.95
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.67
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$990
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39.42
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26.26
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45.43
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$18.75
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$105.59
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$53.04
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$116.85
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$12.48
Warriors vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$11.53
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.07
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.1%+$61.26
Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$68.37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$83.52
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$74.97
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$108.36
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+86.9%+$27.67
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$119.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.53
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.4%+$30.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+400%+$1,375.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+60%+$7.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.