Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x133518c2e2dd6c3d4fa3b30cc90b3445e8062957a36984ce228c072f90ad9bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 14,513$11,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.95 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,046$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Yes | 22c | 3,995$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.88 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 3,985$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.7 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 2,100$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 22c | 1,336$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 892.8$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 22c | 528.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Yes | 23c | 516$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Yes | 22c | 465.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 396.57$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 22c | 368.18$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 22c | 293.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 23c | 271$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 79c | 192$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 192$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 22c | 179.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…f748backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190d…7516backed Yes | 24c | 59.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked No | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…c6cdbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 49.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 48.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 23c | 45.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 78c | 43.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 40.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 79c | 39.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9d…8d82backed No | 78c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f15…d3a1backed No | 77c | 23.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…1f75backed No | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…8fa3backed No | 77c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 78c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…03b7backed No | 77c | 16.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed No | 79c | 16.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.