Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5be58662ebf61544710a59f61c23639cef7f5114a468adec5a50ec9224691e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x312f…b91cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,995$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…dd27backed Yes | 2c | 2,858$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 2c | 2,678$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 17c | 2,521$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.49 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,250$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,059$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f2…c6f5backed Yes | 19c | 1,019$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…cdcdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…9335backed Yes | 2c | 1,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 79c | 908$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 67c | 581$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 7c | 557.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes | 10c | 551.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…b75bbacked Yes | 2c | 501.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 82 | 17.1%14 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 33c | 450$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 15c | 401.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 15c | 376.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 14c | 371.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 16c | 371.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 79c | 332$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Yes | 15c | 294.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 80c | 262.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 16c | 251.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes | 16c | 248.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 79c | 148.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 15c | 148.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 17c | 136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 34c | 136$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 29cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…a62fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 17c | 111.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 79c | 106.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…66acbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 17c | 90.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 13c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5c25backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 15c | 81.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…1d8fbacked Yes | 18c | 56.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…d821backed No | 80c | 21.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad end in a draw?No won
- Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.