TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x275f…39d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT7452.7%39 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,920
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.34
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.15
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.04
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$906Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+313.5%+$2,841.67
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$254.21
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,860
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.78
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.53
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.78
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+206%+$1,387.05
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.05
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+258%+$1,386.01
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.44
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$593.33
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.87
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.48
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.52
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.41
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.56
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,764Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,564.45
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$33.38
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.79
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.95
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT6038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+252.8%+$200.63
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+26%+$206.59
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.13
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.81
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.19
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$43.63
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.51
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$136.14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.48
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30.18
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$454.26
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,185.13
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,729.39
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.38
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+55.8%+$25.9
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+185.7%+$59.35
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,767.59
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$39.22
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$23.15
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$37.63
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.2%+$294.32
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT3423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-58.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.19
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.62
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$63.08
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18.09
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+45.1%+$25.19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+141.7%+$144.58
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$43.24
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$51.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$54.28
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18.97
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.47
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$188.22
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.72
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$46.49
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$207.43
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.15
Dota 2: OG vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.91
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$72.67
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$71.62
Dota 2: Heroic vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+102.9%+$48.23
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$171.99
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$31.86
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+68.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$262.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.91
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.22
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$121.52
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$248.3
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$112.48
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$76.98
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$119.36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$98.51
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$21.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+356.4%+$155.22
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.83
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+73.7%+$208.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+669.2%+$259.43
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,170
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$136.21
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$111.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$629.12
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$169.17
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$95.57
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$70.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.02
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$723.04
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$38.7
Will Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$204.58
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$53.76
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.27
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.72
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.06
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$70.68
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.49
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.38
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$251.48
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+52.5%+$171.79
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$154.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$118.1
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,885Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$2,350.39
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$115.55
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$124.13
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43.06
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.26
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$390.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$86.47
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$361.79
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.65
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-37.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$49.07
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$724.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$59.54
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.