Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41545c9c5b970a0a06b429befba5115ec2e1f946b5b0d04ff26b28da7e81e608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Arkansas Razorbacks, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $575,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $575,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 256 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 1c | 100,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 21,931$7,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,895 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 21,201$7,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,632.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 20,139$12,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,249.99 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 33c | 14,772$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 63c | 10,682$6,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,931.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 34c | 10,627$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 70c | 9,914$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.88 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 8,439$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.99 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 57c | 8,402$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.5 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 8,312$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.46 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 7,934$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 6,259$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 37c | 6,251$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.23 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.59 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 5,909$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.11 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 5,884$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.16 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 5,864$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.6 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 34c | 4,429$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.96 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 53c | 4,426$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.87 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 32c | 4,178$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.62 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 3,998$2,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.79 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 3,922$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.48 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 62c | 3,396$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 40c | 3,372$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 2,687$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.97 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 38c | 2,574$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.2 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a8…2587backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 2,534$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 42c | 2,025$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 56c | 2,000$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 41c | 1,619$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.19 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.27 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 23c | 1,596$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 53c | 1,503$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.03 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 33c | 1,421$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.85 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703d…69fdbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 1,419$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…6fdcbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 1,401$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 43c | 1,312$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.42 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 74c | 1,230$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.38 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 26c | 1,147$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 1,113$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 1,109$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.95 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 1,100$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.48 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 1,060$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.65 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 996.09$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 22c | 986.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.45 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 957$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 45c | 938.99$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 920$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 876.28$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 32c | 840$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 769.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 767.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.42 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 756.3$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.28 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 735.26$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 56c | 714.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 62c | 665.71$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.74 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 35c | 658.95$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 59c | 637.4$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.67 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 633.17$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b7…21e1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 57c | 601.71$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.45 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…01c4backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 50c | 595.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e7…ffe7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 586.28$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 34c | 569.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.84 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 556.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 541.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.12 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 21c | 520.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 505.37$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 500$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 56c | 486.88$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.26 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 463$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 28c | 459.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 456$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 30c | 442.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 430$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…d81abacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 417.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 410$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 399.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 36c | 399.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 37c | 395.38$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 65c | 395.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.89 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 30c | 389.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 34c | 374.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 356.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.9 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 32c | 353.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 37c | 316.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 37c | 313.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 58c | 312.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.93 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ac…8fbfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 40c | 310.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 64c | 305.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidethis page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 182.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 183.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 184.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.