Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc110b1c3d83c7e2329d7252cc1bcb2aefcd826879171cee5ab11aa75c6ee2443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 10,644$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.54 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over | 48c | 9,909$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 51c | 7,118$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 4,458$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 3,516$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.62 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 47c | 2,447$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.51 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 52c | 1,424$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.9 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Over | 47c | 1,222$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 50c | 184.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 125$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 49c | 122.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…309dbacked Over | 56c | 96.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 51c | 78.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Over | 57c | 20.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 182.5this page
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson TideAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 183.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 184.5Over won
- Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-3.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5)Arkansas Razorbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.