Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x684138e78777922c767c821bb2d87198ad669707716ca67979a3596fcc24af25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 50c | 20,000$10,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,047.49 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 15,696$7,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410.91 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 12,537$6,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.71 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 6,179$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.12 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 5,849$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.59 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed MOUZ | 50c | 5,000$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,530$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.15 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,565$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.87 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,669$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.97 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,328$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 41c | 2,185$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.6 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,023$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.85 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,693$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.62 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,495$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,322$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.84 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,166$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.44 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,158$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.18 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 1,100$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…11cbbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,088$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,069$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.26 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,055$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…b5dfbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 953.91$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 921.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.91 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 880$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 795.07$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…3e6bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 685.28$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 675.48$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.62 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 601.66$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MOUZ | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 596.78$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed MOUZ | 45c | 424.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 397.96$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 392.34$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 377.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 372.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.9 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 281.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 32c | 275.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…2afdbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 244.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ | 30c | 234.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed MOUZ | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 212.89$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 207.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed MOUZ | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 199.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9147…baccbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 188.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 181.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…8afbbacked MOUZ | 50c | 174.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 164$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed MOUZ | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 140.82$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed MOUZ | 38c | 140.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed MOUZ | 8c | 134.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 132.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…de7cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 118.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 116.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 111.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 110.53$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed MOUZ | 48c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 40c | 103.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed MOUZ | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed MOUZ | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed MOUZ | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed MOUZ | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 95.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235b…ff0fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 89.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4844backed MOUZ | 31c | 89.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…c3dbbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 89.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 85.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 13c | 82.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ | 43c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…7241backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 77.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed MOUZ | 47c | 74.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 65.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3e…41c9backed MOUZ | 44c | 61.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x275f…39d9backed MOUZ | 47c | 60.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 56.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 46c | 55.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.