TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaa4…71c5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST6245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$155.17
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$49.43
Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+354.5%+$38.99
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$47.39
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+170.3%+$126
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+62.3%+$48.37
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+165.5%+$93.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$282.6
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+85.4%+$115.15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$129.55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+127.5%+$123.29
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$153.99
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+136.2%+$57.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$235.99
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.04
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 4 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+207.7%+$33.75
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+375.6%+$97.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.6%+$131.98
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.1
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.3
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+203%+$29.46
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.1
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs B8 (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.6
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-75.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25.8%+$13.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$59.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+109.6%+$73.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45.2%+$19.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.