CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24fd00412caaaa4a7beb7482e801effb82ce8435a730ab708519cbe0c753d410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof GamerLegion, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed GamerLegion | 12c | 8,463$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.02 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed GamerLegion | 15c | 2,001$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.92 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed GamerLegion | 16c | 1,900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed GamerLegion | 4c | 1,845$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed GamerLegion | 11c | 1,600$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 1,548$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 17c | 1,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 941.91$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked GamerLegion | 20c | 914.02$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.68 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee5…dadabacked GamerLegion | 9c | 809.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 747.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.83 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 555.77$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 555$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 521.02$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked GamerLegion | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed GamerLegion | 32c | 486.48$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed GamerLegion | 25c | 479.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed GamerLegion | 16c | 427.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 179 | 49.7%89 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed GamerLegion | 19c | 399.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa10…3fc9backed GamerLegion | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed GamerLegion | 9c | 324$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 320.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 298.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked GamerLegion | 14c | 296.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed GamerLegion | 18c | 278.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked GamerLegion | 28c | 267$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…9836backed GamerLegion | 22c | 257.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed GamerLegion | 10c | 219.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed GamerLegion | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed GamerLegion | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed GamerLegion | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed GamerLegion | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked GamerLegion | 28c | 178.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…51e8backed GamerLegion | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed GamerLegion | 17c | 170.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 160.79$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…7fabbacked GamerLegion | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…50efbacked GamerLegion | 27c | 146.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 143.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked GamerLegion | 29c | 129.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked GamerLegion | 21c | 128.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed GamerLegion | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed GamerLegion | 22c | 114$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…a661backed GamerLegion | 14c | 112.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…fc05backed GamerLegion | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…fcf1backed GamerLegion | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 94.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed GamerLegion | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 77.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 74.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…244ebacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 62.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…35bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 57.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 47.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…6df0backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…4e5cbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 36.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36a…1360backed GamerLegion | 31c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed GamerLegion | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…4d07backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 21.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 20.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…13a8backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.