TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb3a…35bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST5653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$33.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$31.07
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$39.27
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+85.2%+$77.52
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+25%+$20.25
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$31.1
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.37
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.2%+$96.7
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+63.9%+$30.05
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.8%+$18.62
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+67.5%+$31.71
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+83.7%+$33.47
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+113.9%+$21.64
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.06
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+50%+$19.01
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$45.12
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$15.19
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Cbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+425.8%+$153.29
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+156.4%+$35.97
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$27.52
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 7 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+648.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+648.6%+$272.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$274
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.