CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d090f64338c288e74937490bbdb32bbe1d4019751dceb80443d8745fd503ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Inner Circle Esports, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Inner Circle Esports | 0c | 27,120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…80e6backed Inner Circle Esports | 2c | 11,682$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit | 71c | 5,695$4,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.43 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Inner Circle Esports | 17c | 4,472$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.95 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 22c | 4,000$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.12 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 80c | 2,461$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.06 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle Esports | 26c | 1,924$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Inner Circle Esports | 18c | 1,900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 18c | 1,678$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.52 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Spirit | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Inner Circle Esports | 16c | 1,280$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Inner Circle Esports | 16c | 841$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 671.9$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 666$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 600$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 585.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 518.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Inner Circle Esports | 17c | 500.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Inner Circle Esports | 20c | 497.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Inner Circle Esports | 10c | 420.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Inner Circle Esports | 10c | 420$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Spirit | 73c | 408.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Spirit | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 383.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 382.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Inner Circle Esports | 4c | 375.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Spirit | 72c | 369.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 16c | 331.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 306.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Spirit | 70c | 302.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 288.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 286.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 8c | 269.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Inner Circle Esports | 27c | 255.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Inner Circle Esports | 4c | 253.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3d22backed Inner Circle Esports | 16c | 220.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Inner Circle Esports | 26c | 219.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Spirit | 64c | 211.37$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…2fbabacked Spirit | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…66e1backed Inner Circle Esports | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked Spirit | 63c | 199.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Spirit | 77c | 193$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Inner Circle Esports | 10c | 173$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spirit | 77c | 164.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…9194backed Spirit | 71c | 151.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed Spirit | 70c | 143.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Spirit | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 17c | 120.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 115.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 97.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Inner Circle Esports | 11c | 97.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Spirit | 70c | 84.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 19c | 80.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 23c | 77.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Spirit | 79c | 76.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Spirit | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Inner Circle Esports | 18c | 67.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…35bbbacked Inner Circle Esports | 24c | 62.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…1bb0backed Spirit | 71c | 61.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 22c | 54.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…4d1dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49e6…f094backed Spirit | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Spirit | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Spirit | 69c | 49.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Spirit | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 34.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed Spirit | 73c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…4d07backed Spirit | 75c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Spirit | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…6f16backed Spirit | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe636…e062backed Spirit | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…0d30backed Spirit | 67c | 18.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Spirit | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.