CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee210879d8b453bbf60e3e7f5f4b8c28dd34657c42f6ad28a47aee3700257a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4602…3315backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 8,537$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.73 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit | 66c | 6,500$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 5,127$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.89 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Spirit | 67c | 3,887$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.56 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Spirit | 70c | 1,361$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.31 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 67c | 1,002$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.69 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 561.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Spirit | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 32c | 483.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Spirit | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Spirit | 69c | 300$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Inner Circle Esports | 33c | 282.19$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Spirit | 70c | 200.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Spirit | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c0…4c72backed Spirit | 70c | 70.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…6eb1backed Inner Circle Esports | 28c | 56.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…c864backed Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 49.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Spirit | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Spirit | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Spirit | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spirit | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…d85fbacked Spirit | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.