TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa097…8795

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT17347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Alliance (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.22
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$223.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$557.14
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.99
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$50.67
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$76.44
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$225
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs magic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.05
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: BIG vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$151.79
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$148.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$124.8
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$112
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.11
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$353.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$306
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$186.29
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$472
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$500
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$224.64
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$85.81
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$521
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$400
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$297.78
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+30.8%+$116.02
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$119.48
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$112.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$768
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$699Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$757.79
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$66.27
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.04
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$76.36
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.21
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-61.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+87%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Lecce win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Will Lecce win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+460.9%+$1,746.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$640.38
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monaco vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+229.7%+$574.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$93.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$241.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.