Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb898644d9eea327a793c535fc2e0b03c4b34e6bcdeaef97b8fad447f809e6010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 42c | 54,182$22,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,491.59 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 58c | 42,315$24,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,436.56 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 59c | 25,000$14,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,731.44 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 16,225$9,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,135.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Over | 41c | 13,104$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,731.31 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…189bbacked Over | 43c | 11,565$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,592.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 59c | 3,547$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.8 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Under | 10c | 2,792$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 57c | 1,797$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Under | 63c | 1,327$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 58c | 1,142$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.07 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.99 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.97 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 43c | 662.79$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 57c | 584.84$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.36 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Under | 61c | 550$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Over | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 25c | 534.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 42c | 479.65$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 59c | 444$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.96 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Under | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…b307backed Under | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…3c12backed Under | 59c | 354.39$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa740…ee18backed Over | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013b…01cfbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 43c | 198.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked Over | 42c | 176.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Under | 61c | 169.49$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3b…3ebfbacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 48c | 160$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…84dbbacked Under | 61c | 159.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…3d66backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 14c | 133.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 42c | 119.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Over | 42c | 119.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Over | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Under | 57c | 91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa2…2da1backed Over | 43c | 85.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Under | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…996cbacked Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Under | 37c | 58.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…2798backed Over | 42c | 56.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 56c | 54.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 44c | 54.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x535d…6ff7backed Over | 43c | 54.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8153…c439backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…c984backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Over | 37c | 39.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…a6edbacked Over | 42c | 36.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Over | 67c | 34.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 41c | 33.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c28…78c8backed Under | 67c | 31.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…5b5abacked Over | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Over | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123c…e814backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)Manchester City won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.