TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f5b…b993

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST2626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.05
Hellenic Championship: Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Gironbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40.31
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Iga Swiatek vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+222.6%+$54.77
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.63
Hellenic Championship: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Luciano Darderibacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Open de Moselle: Francesco Passaro vs Alexander Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.12
Open de Moselle: Daniel Altmaier vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$169.82
Hellenic Championship: Reilly Opelka vs Vit Koprivabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$83.51
Open de Moselle: Valentin Royer vs Cameron Norriebacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45.09
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$106.02
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.67
Hellenic Championship: Damir Dzumhur vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+178.6%+$158.78
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$26.76
Jiangxi Open: Anna Blinkova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Jiangxi Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$547.33
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexandre Muller vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$264.51
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Zizou Bergsbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.68
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$719.26
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Anastasija Sevastova vs Maya Jointbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+66%+$244.85
Rolex Paris Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$316.68
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$66.16
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+37%+$18.75
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.08
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32.97
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+72.4%+$17.49
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50.69
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+300%+$54.33
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.61
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+61.3%+$17.83
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. FC København end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$12.5
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. PSV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will SSC Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48.77
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.69
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30.36
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+72.4%+$31.92
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$48.78
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$52.48
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.56
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.49
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+37%+$18.75
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.64
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$16
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35.37
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$56.89
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+89.8%+$40.17
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+79.6%+$301.09
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-57.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$386.15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.74
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,345.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$462.11
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.4
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.37
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.96
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$98.21
Will Donald Trump say "Tomahawk" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.47
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.9%+$5.45
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$136.66
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$53.57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$233.62
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+160%+$296.4
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$18.49
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$49.99
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$12.92
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$26.03
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+185.7%+$53.28
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.58
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$35.84
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.19
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$103.39
West Ham vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76.36
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$23.72
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$6.18
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$88.71
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$99.55
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.6%+$126.38
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.4%+$19.63
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.7%+$35.5
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.21
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+50.6%+$151.6
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.28
Syria strikes Israel by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.69
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30.54
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+27.1%+$54.94
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+308.2%+$89.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+25.1%+$85.43
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,628.42
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$889.07
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$171.49
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$165.44
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+300%+$34.97
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+449.8%+$148.12
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$143.79
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$41.51
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$80.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-87.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$604.36
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.96
Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.14
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.69
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$435
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23.45
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$140.17
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+27.5%+$7.93
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UMass vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.12
Will Austin FC win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$32.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+35%+$230.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$271.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$280.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.