TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof 76ers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,527,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,832,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,527,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 733 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed 76ers20c268,204$54,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,115.1236148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed 76ers19c250,000$48,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,50020253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers79c132,583$104,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,908.7747848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers20c124,975$25,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,460.1385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed 76ers1c108,241$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.834037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+241.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Cavaliers77c75,695$58,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,240.1471052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked 76ers0c71,273$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3829810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed 76ers0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6064517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers25c33,662$8,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,385.962,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers79c27,322$21,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,817.1147751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked 76ers25c27,201$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7005457.4%31 W · 23 L+13.2wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+76.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers13c26,195$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,486.8325925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed 76ers19c21,053$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers80c20,278$16,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,136.5369852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed 76ers0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed 76ers21c17,210$3,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,628.6924330.9%75 W · 168 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 76ers21c16,999$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Cavaliers78c15,326$11,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.5530053.3%160 W · 140 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccca…3b2bbacked 76ers22c13,834$3,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.442330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Cavaliers80c13,105$10,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.081,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers77c13,061$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,061.0634062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed 76ers2c12,000$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19265218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed 76ers0c11,664$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.328820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed 76ers24c11,171$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,688.867739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers1c10,208$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.831,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed 76ers24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.992748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed 76ers24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9912334.1%42 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers78c8,978$6,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.6244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471e…b99abacked 76ers1c8,830$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked 76ers19c8,200$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5365125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed 76ers24c8,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92013625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Cavaliers79c7,508$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.252460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3be…a12ebacked 76ers10c7,372$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.47425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed 76ers20c7,100$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed 76ers19c6,994$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.867255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f56…215fbacked 76ers19c6,870$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers76c6,407$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.582,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f79…735fbacked Cavaliers77c6,005$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked 76ers12c6,000$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed 76ers27c6,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64013345.9%61 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Cavaliers77c6,000$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,39039958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Cavaliers69c5,815$3,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.340648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Cavaliers78c5,557$4,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.2812160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked 76ers16c5,500$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85616446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked 76ers17c5,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92547535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Cavaliers79c5,214$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.9318345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed 76ers21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed 76ers20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…7e32backed 76ers24c4,900$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94ea…3d5cbacked 76ers24c4,800$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed 76ers21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked 76ers9c4,639$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44015228.3%43 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9609…29bdbacked 76ers19c4,563$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers16c4,500$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba8…958dbacked 76ers4c4,500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed 76ers20c4,356$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.27149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed 76ers18c4,340$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.1846342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a7…58e2backed 76ers1c4,189$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120155.7%112 W · 89 L+15.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers22c4,128$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.481,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e2…1f0ebacked Cavaliers75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f22…61eabacked 76ers23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…2e64backed Cavaliers78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0a…13d2backed Cavaliers77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d0…5407backed 76ers23c3,987$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed 76ers0c3,781$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.761088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers20c3,754$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.462,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8302…806ebacked 76ers4c3,516$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.922030%6 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Cavaliers77c3,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.999855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06a…837dbacked 76ers24c3,300$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9682…738bbacked 76ers0c3,295$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.370%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Cavaliers75c3,276$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.924057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Cavaliers80c3,181$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.2828448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed 76ers19c3,148$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked 76ers10c3,133$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Cavaliers77c3,055$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.5135651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed 76ers22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66023644.1%104 W · 132 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Cavaliers78c3,000$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66631347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed 76ers19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df6…4808backed 76ers19c2,894$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked 76ers21c2,800$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked 76ers24c2,778$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.3218155.2%100 W · 81 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers21c2,729$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf67b…4a7abacked 76ers24c2,719$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.014447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed 76ers19c2,712$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9599…3c20backed 76ers9c2,681$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2286428.1%18 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Cavaliers76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.584757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers1c2,619$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.597211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Cavaliers76c2,545$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.982,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers80c2,438$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.642,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Cavaliers80c2,423$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.54163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed 76ers15c2,130$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.881,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers77c2,113$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac7…62ddbacked Cavaliers76c2,076$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac16…1050backed 76ers24c2,075$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked 76ers11c2,003$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0381529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked 76ers8c2,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+48.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Cavaliers75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50030351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0394…20e9backed 76ers22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.