NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5d72283c034ef768e0096052484143788e685d74600dbf739df1017c09d41d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Cavaliers, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Cavaliers | 52c | 38,994$20,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,268.16 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 48c | 17,921$8,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,334.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 48c | 10,464$5,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 76ers | 48c | 4,524$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.48 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked 76ers | 48c | 2,916$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.32 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…ed30backed 76ers | 56c | 2,648$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.69 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,448$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.96 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,065$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.32 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked 76ers | 51c | 2,009$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.41 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed 76ers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 45c | 1,470$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 76ers | 51c | 1,069$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.87 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 76ers | 54c | 989.74$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.41 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers | 45c | 599.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed 76ers | 54c | 559.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked 76ers | 50c | 438.38$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.66 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Cavaliers | 54c | 384$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed 76ers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed 76ers | 48c | 258.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c4…09a3backed 76ers | 55c | 193.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…de15backed Cavaliers | 44c | 178$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked 76ers | 56c | 173.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b74…abdcbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 171$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4308…9d1cbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 169$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…c64bbacked 76ers | 56c | 165$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…ee42backed Cavaliers | 44c | 164$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…d96abacked 76ers | 56c | 161$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…3ba9backed 76ers | 56c | 159$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…9aefbacked 76ers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed 76ers | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2783…f64bbacked 76ers | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed 76ers | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked 76ers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed 76ers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…9e5cbacked 76ers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…6dbebacked 76ers | 50c | 70.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…442abacked 76ers | 50c | 56.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed 76ers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked 76ers | 48c | 45.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Cavaliers | 45c | 44.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 327 | 43.4%142 W · 185 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…0a92backed 76ers | 55c | 43.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed 76ers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…908dbacked 76ers | 56c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…588ebacked Cavaliers | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cavaliers | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…03efbacked 76ers | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f8…1092backed 76ers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2a…9739backed 76ers | 55c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked 76ers | 55c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked 76ers | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked 76ers | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.