TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a9d…69fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
372
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT15536.8%57 W · 98 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$96.24
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.2
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.67
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.13
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.93
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+362.8%+$170.53
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$81.27
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.94
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.36
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.8
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
LoL: GIANTX vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6728.4%19 W · 48 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$74.67
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$153.92
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.69
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.32
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.3%+$226.83
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.67
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.95
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.09
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$136.04
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$317.43
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+67%+$87.08
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$780
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.08
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$301.23
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$315.12
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+155.3%+$77.63
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$314
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.03
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+325.9%+$65.19
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+550%+$275.02
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+864.3%+$630.13
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50.83
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26.04
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.7%+$316.57
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50.62
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$115.12
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$306.87
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Nets vs. Pelicans: 1H Moneylinebacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+90.7%+$90.67
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$106.42
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Suns vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$65.45
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40.06
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+175.4%+$35.44
Raptors vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinebacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26.3
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+301%+$60.2
Rockets vs. Bucks: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+91.6%+$146.77
Thunder vs. Kings: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$43
1H Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST160%0 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$257.76
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$346.53
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.93
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$48.28
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$64.05
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Shutterstock (SSTK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+74%+$18.5
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+270.4%+$67.59
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+215.1%+$84.22
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$24.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+147.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,823.1%+$291.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.94
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$34.73
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.43
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+203%+$50.76
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Chennai Open: Mia Pohankova vs Diane Parrybacked Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.93
Chennai Open: Joanna Garland vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$44.52
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$35.36
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guobacked Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.18
Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-57%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Crashers - Map 1 Winnerbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.39
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Team Novaq (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$16.14
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.66
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+171.6%+$85.81
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick3cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.7
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+83.7%+$209.56
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$22.19
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+73.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+109.1%+$40.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.87
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$33.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$113.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.