Earnings · resolved market
Will Teladoc Health (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd165dd3fbe08b8c4246141895779cb2003e9cdbea4534ee8a5ef0873852ba5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 58c | 3,075$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.51 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,843$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 37c | 1,341$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.28 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 48c | 805.71$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.59 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 57c | 504.24$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 11c | 454$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 45c | 325$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 45c | 254.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 238.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 50c | 200.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 45c | 187.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 66c | 169.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…416abacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 52c | 143.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed Yes | 38c | 136.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 29c | 120.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 100.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 30c | 90.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed Yes | 60c | 83.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 27c | 72.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked No | 49c | 71.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 29c | 61.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 54c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 58c | 57.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 19c | 53.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 37c | 41.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Yes | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Yes | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…f4fabacked No | 63c | 31.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3857…6605backed Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked Yes | 44c | 29.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 63c | 27.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.