TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c66…31e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 57 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST11860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will StoneX Group (SNEX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$47.73
Will Forge Global Holdings (FRGE) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$142.47
Will DeFi Technologies (DEFT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$42.18
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$55.5
Will Bitcoin Depot (BTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$58.83
Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.61
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$81.02
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+56.2%+$39.96
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+30.8%+$49.64
Will iHeartMedia (IHRT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$104.34
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$84.24
Will Oklo (OKLO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$62.16
Will Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$73.26
Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$63.26
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Chegg (CHGG) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$41.07
Will The RealReal (REAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$25.53
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+25%+$44.4
Will Theravance Biopharma (TBPH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+69.5%+$91.02
Will Getty Images Holdings (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+65%+$63.4
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+59.2%+$21.74
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+28.2%+$73.25
Will eToro Group (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$68.81
Will Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$34.41
Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+39.2%+$59.42
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT6944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$27.99
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.49
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+77%+$21.75
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT3161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$246.85
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$171.8
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$71
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+359.6%+$51.71
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+236.8%+$360.68
Will Trump say "NATO" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+70.2%+$34.08
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40%+$90.67
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.7%+$36.21
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37.7%+$62.38
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.79
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 3+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$38.76
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+77.4%+$93.1
Will Trump say "Nothing" 2+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+50.5%+$49.3
Will Trump say "First Term" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.2%+$135.55
Will Trump say "Gaza" 5+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.69
Will Trump say "Peace" 8+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.8
Will Trump say "General" or "Bondi" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.4
Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+77%+$17.4
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Trump say "Witkoff" or "Kushner" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$102.23
Will Trump say "Armada" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+57.9%+$71.69
Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.42
Will Trump's meeting with Netanyahu not air?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$463.56
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 8+ timesduring meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$62.99
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$62
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+244.8%+$71
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Timberwolves vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Jazz vs. Hornetsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$43.6
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$22.8
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+141%+$46.79
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$92.99
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29%+$45
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$54.8
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+135.3%+$46
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will "Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+129.9%+$45.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+77%+$34.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+241.9%+$56.59
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+117.4%+$54
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 129m and 143m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+60%+$60
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$101.5
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$770
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 40,000 and 50,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$12.6
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 50,000 and 60,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+29%+$18
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$182
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$226
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.4%+$23
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+48.7%+$26.2
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+68.1%+$32.4
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+75.4%+$34.4
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$392
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick69cpaid-59.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+147.1%+$228.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$66.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$384
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+39.5%+$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.