Earnings · resolved market
Will Newsmax (NMAX) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa299cf46721157bc15014476ee7098960decdbe6a1b83be6da47bb902bd0b470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 54c | 1,506$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.54 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 47c | 525.14$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.29 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 75c | 466.65$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed Yes | 43c | 428.7$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 50c | 346$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 75c | 338.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 43c | 317.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.71 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 46c | 305.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 66c | 299.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…402cbacked No | 73c | 275.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 37c | 270.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +324.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 58c | 214.92$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 207.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 60c | 197.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 77c | 194.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 11c | 181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 167.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 41c | 147.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 46c | 137$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…a7fcbacked No | 71c | 132$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 35c | 129.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.45 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed No | 64c | 125.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 59c | 104$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e4…3d16backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…a978backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8e90backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4f…c6c6backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed No | 70c | 94.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c48…6da6backed No | 73c | 79.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8777…66d0backed No | 62c | 70.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…d65cbacked No | 61c | 65.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked No | 70c | 64.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked No | 62c | 61.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 32c | 60.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 52c | 60.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 203 | 31.5%64 W · 139 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ba…7c0fbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…adc2backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…1790backed Yes | 48c | 57.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…618ebacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 59cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…5987backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 61c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Yes | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +123.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 46.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 43c | 45.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…c3dfbacked Yes | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 44c | 43.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…1875backed Yes | 43c | 41.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…73bebacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fa…949ebacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…abe0backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4058…8b1cbacked Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00de…9c2ebacked No | 76c | 39.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe2…f885backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…300ebacked No | 75c | 33.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…8d7fbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +342.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 31.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 37c | 30.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8f58backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…4eb1backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e96…633fbacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1149…6af0backed No | 76c | 26.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…7a2dbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…9e75backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Yes | 42c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3b…fccbbacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…53ebbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…5d91backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ef14backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.