TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55dd…8702

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 65 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+37.4%+$26.9
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+43.3%+$29.89
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.1%+$37.84
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+77.1%+$86.3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+32.5%+$49
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+98.1%+$98.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+98.9%+$98.93
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+57.5%+$70.17
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Will Jara win by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+39.4%+$27.96
Will Jara win by 9-12%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+28.9%+$22.23
Will José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+29.8%+$45.94
Will Chile Grande y Unido gain the most seats in the Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Cho Tae-yong in jail by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$72
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST9100%9 W · 0 L+4.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+130.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+39%+$27.33
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+54.3%+$34.77
Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+175.5%+$175.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+147%+$58.79
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in October 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+26.3%+$26.34
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.5%+$39.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.2%+$51.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+76.4%+$42.77
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$114
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Timberwolves vs. Jazzbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25.5%+$20.12
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AJ Auxerre (-0.5)backed AJ Auxerre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Texans: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta dip to $600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.