World Politics · resolved market
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x692b8170d243494b0c1409e5b592a45eac7e526963ab7d4b9e83c76751c014b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02e8…d63ebacked No | 19c | 3,624$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 77c | 2,417$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked No | 55c | 1,826$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +335.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked No | 28c | 1,562$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 9c | 1,459$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 76c | 1,437$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.23 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 19c | 1,395$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 28c | 1,311$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 18c | 1,226$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 54c | 1,112$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.83 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 14c | 1,099$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.01 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 10c | 1,088$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.78 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…1e59backed No | 9c | 1,083$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +569.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked No | 38c | 1,064$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.9 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 13c | 1,020$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.57 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 74c | 681$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.09 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…e367backed No | 16c | 642.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.81 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 7c | 626.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.79 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 10c | 600$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 10c | 571.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.43 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…c7e2backed No | 10c | 505.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +911.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…5decbacked No | 20c | 502.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 41c | 487.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…af45backed No | 58c | 441.73$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 8c | 410$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 60c | 375$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 19c | 372$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…71b7backed No | 41c | 367.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…72b4backed No | 8c | 362.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,216.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 30c | 343$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.03 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 35c | 333.84$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…c0a7backed No | 9c | 307.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,057.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…8569backed No | 11c | 300$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 11cpaid | +852.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed No | 59c | 296.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked No | 14c | 290$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +331.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 31c | 263$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Yes | 78c | 256.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 29c | 249.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 76c | 248.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…3009backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…3307backed No | 11c | 209.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.71 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 25cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 51c | 203.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…fcf0backed No | 54c | 184.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380e…1669backed No | 56c | 178.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed No | 20c | 176$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 7c | 168.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…ecd4backed No | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691e…d59dbacked Yes | 76c | 166.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…be47backed No | 15c | 158.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 46c | 157.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 13c | 157$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked Yes | 42c | 145.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…f7fcbacked No | 19c | 135$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f3…4956backed No | 31c | 129.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…e039backed No | 58c | 126.74$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9e…90d3backed Yes | 80c | 125.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce9…9e9cbacked Yes | 70c | 120.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed No | 12c | 117.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…f13abacked Yes | 74c | 112.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 74cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…de88backed No | 80c | 108.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 55c | 103$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5762backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…5c3dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…5e88backed No | 11c | 98.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +222.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed Yes | 49c | 98.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 33c | 98.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31f…094cbacked No | 29c | 87.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +250.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed Yes | 43c | 84.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 33c | 82.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…07f4backed No | 75c | 75.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed No | 28c | 70.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 54c | 69.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…e7cfbacked No | 29c | 68.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 44c | 61.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked No | 20c | 61.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +410.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…df43backed No | 61c | 60.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…6e9ebacked No | 26c | 56.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…1f46backed No | 54c | 55.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed No | 54c | 55.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 49c | 53.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…9c1fbacked No | 30c | 49.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +228.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…0b07backed Yes | 75c | 47.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…ed22backed No | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked No | 64c | 44.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…e979backed Yes | 45c | 44.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 51c | 42.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Yes | 74c | 41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5874backed Yes | 49c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…c8f4backed Yes | 68c | 36.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…d8efbacked Yes | 47c | 35.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?this page
- Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?No won
- Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.