TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5cb3…5874

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Canucksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$47.21
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.25
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Panthers vs. Jets: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Giants vs. Saints: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
49ers vs. Rams: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: BAL (-4.5)backed BAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Spread: SEA (-6.5)backed SEA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21.17
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+152.1%+$181
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$56
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-81.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.49
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 3 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $190 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.