Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f105ae3e0f0ed72e0633df17392e5bd725799feaa80b626d1bb249c1d11db5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 28c | 19,728$5,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 18,311$6,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,623.73 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 34c | 15,204$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.69 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 14,722$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 73c | 12,217$8,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 25c | 11,359$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 73c | 6,850$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.56 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 74c | 6,131$4,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12b…1652backed Yes | 76c | 4,880$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…3c8fbacked Yes | 76c | 3,950$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 24c | 2,950$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yes | 75c | 2,920$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 24c | 2,212$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.83 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 26c | 1,910$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.95 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 74c | 1,814$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 72c | 1,761$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.05 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed Yes | 73c | 1,512$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 73c | 1,458$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 71c | 1,322$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.18 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 73c | 1,069$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 27c | 998.9$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 73c | 992.95$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 76c | 954.37$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 75c | 863.55$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed No | 26c | 830.5$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Yes | 73c | 816.51$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 64c | 750.41$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.15 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes | 74c | 724.68$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 73c | 699.64$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.9 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 73c | 685.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 674.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 76c | 657.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Yes | 73c | 650$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb0…c007backed Yes | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 79c | 558.64$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 77c | 515.08$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 73c | 512.33$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdca…bfc4backed Yes | 74c | 507.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 74c | 504.98$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 72c | 456$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 47c | 430.07$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.51 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 75c | 400.97$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 27c | 386.09$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 24c | 332.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 26c | 305.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 26c | 299.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes | 76c | 286.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…7d2dbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 79c | 253.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…f509backed Yes | 73c | 250.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 24c | 241.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 73c | 237.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 66c | 229.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 34c | 229.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 223.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Yes | 74c | 218.74$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 47c | 214.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 55c | 211.01$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 32c | 199.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 74c | 195.95$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 74c | 187.24$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 29c | 185.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 173.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes | 70c | 172.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…f606backed Yes | 76c | 172.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 166.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…3a06backed Yes | 70c | 156.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 22c | 146.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 74c | 143.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b01…b089backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…0da7backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 74c | 134.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 74c | 134$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c7…e539backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 73c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Yes | 74c | 128.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 28c | 126.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 74c | 125.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-18?No won
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.