TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7c7…e539

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.5%+$36.89
Will FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC København vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+324.8%+$64.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+168%+$176.38
Will Newcastle United vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$200.77
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany vs. Slovakia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will IR Iran win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AEK win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+258.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+258.6%+$54.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.