TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,561,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,301,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,561,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,950 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed No37c2,617,776$965,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965,360.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes69c1,449,276$1,000,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449,275.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9707…e3bcbacked Yes64c356,984$228,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,454.022254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Yes69c320,000$220,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,199.953450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd50…f80fbacked Yes70c285,625$199,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,687.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No31c234,950$73,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,393.9556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes53c190,940$101,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,089.81,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked No30c181,225$54,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,805.213246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c170,368$56,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,862.661,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes29c163,621$46,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,659.6346239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba66…f59dbacked Yes71c140,118$99,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,143.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb25…23e1backed Yes69c132,012$90,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,103.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+111.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes54c121,604$65,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,708.8755053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed No67c120,000$80,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,399.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Yes33c107,000$35,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,6907651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No33c96,978$32,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,306.863357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes75c93,669$70,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,336.781942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked No74c85,255$63,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,326.7221740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes42c81,257$34,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,128.943554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes68c79,999$54,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,599.82955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x327a…99bfbacked Yes70c64,286$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,285.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Yes49c63,076$31,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,924.996855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes75c62,638$47,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,621.952356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes67c60,249$40,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,009.5125453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes27c59,321$15,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,337.381741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes44c58,275$25,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,779.722646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes61c52,315$31,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,526.931060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d1e…04d0backed Yes69c52,083$35,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,090.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes43c52,004$22,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,447.751421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Yes38c51,231$19,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,582.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No30c47,788$14,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,292.489462.8%59 W · 35 L+11.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes27c45,908$12,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,699.281421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed No56c45,689$25,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,594.03955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8067…5cc2backed Yes25c44,800$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e3…9d1abacked No75c44,800$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No33c44,669$14,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,740.892445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes57c40,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,2004100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Yes69c39,959$27,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,421.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Yes53c39,652$21,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,546.021275%9 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+50.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Yes28c36,695$10,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,298.510930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfc…2e3abacked Yes33c36,364$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,363.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…34a1backed Yes71c34,676$24,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,056.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes21c34,357$7,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,295.261,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8f…0e47backed Yes28c33,872$9,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,387.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022e…d93fbacked No72c33,867$24,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,384.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d5…f347backed Yes42c33,201$13,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,236.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes58c32,251$18,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,494.462842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Yes56c31,982$17,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,072.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes28c31,285$8,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,544.7818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…1415backed Yes19c30,996$5,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,080.112259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Yes70c27,461$19,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,112.812060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No47c27,393$12,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,905.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa447…cc98backed Yes62c27,368$16,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,429.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Yes57c26,316$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,315.791070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4458…1be5backed Yes48c24,837$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,836.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes46c23,366$10,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,571.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes56c23,200$12,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,2089666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed No31c22,240$6,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,964.874445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes56c21,913$12,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,641.727753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No31c21,745$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,649.671,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed No28c21,544$6,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,070.22560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+108.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes27c21,348$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,672.551,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes30c19,969$6,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,895.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+228.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes64c19,658$12,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.184143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Yes65c19,307$12,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,717.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3448…7f55backed Yes68c19,157$13,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed16…ad27backed Yes51c17,807$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,806.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No68c17,262$11,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,790.6278445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f6…237cbacked Yes33c16,156$5,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,824.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes43c15,671$6,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,881.7796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3944…f591backed Yes36c15,566$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+178%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a8…6dfdbacked No1c15,400$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked No31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.971070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+34.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No69c14,915$10,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,316.6311544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e4…cdb9backed No34c14,902$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes67c14,684$9,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,846.181118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes59c14,672$8,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,087.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes67c14,025$9,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.912441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c1c…a767backed Yes27c13,084$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,544.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+269.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No64c12,881$8,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,189.8511150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes32c12,774$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,637.07336.1%2 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes28c12,635$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,035.11533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a98…17c3backed Yes20c12,483$2,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,986.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x091a…0cb2backed Yes55c11,900$6,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes19c11,720$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,451.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x388a…e87cbacked Yes27c11,000$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0101100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+267.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e14…fb6bbacked Yes56c10,910$6,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,800.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Yes66c10,900$7,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1768…bfe1backed Yes31c10,734$3,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,399.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+128.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No79c10,572$8,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3407343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes51c10,400$5,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,116.06825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe61f…8beebacked Yes66c10,282$6,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,516.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa66c…7e83backed Yes55c10,200$5,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No38c10,057$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.781838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5157…aa2cbacked Yes75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3003100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+204.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5df…2f2dbacked Yes38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes57c10,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3003100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bdb…4ab3backed Yes56c9,958$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,398.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12bf…314ebacked Yes65c9,919$6,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.