MLB · resolved market

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e70b4e3bb485930443c3b32a6a596cfd43e00f581551c1b7626901f48291dda

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 12, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,152,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $858,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,152,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x08ad…208ebacked Yes	5c	48,520$2,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,364.71	217	40.1%87 W · 130 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	6c	37,693$2,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,218.07	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes	6c	35,462$2,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,078.89	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	6c	30,089$1,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,707.9	695	47.5%330 W · 365 L	-16.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes	5c	30,037$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.72	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	7c	15,230$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.89	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	6c	11,362$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.5	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	5c	10,904$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35c0…81d6backed Yes	0c	10,897$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd11a…7a65backed Yes	7c	10,087$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes	5c	9,905$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.92	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65a4…dd81backed Yes	21c	9,619$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3049…7825backed Yes	5c	9,139$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.76	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	7c	8,369$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.83	81	25.9%21 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	5c	8,190$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.17	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes	5c	7,909$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.63	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes	7c	7,592$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.6	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd281…d750backed Yes	5c	7,400$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2f…1f59backed Yes	5c	7,400$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	3c	7,278$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.59	103	28.2%29 W · 74 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes	5c	7,278$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.46	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes	6c	6,775$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.11	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	5c	6,503$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.43	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	5c	6,189$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.9	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	7c	6,060$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.01	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Yes	6c	5,847$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.91	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes	5c	5,662$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked Yes	6c	5,112$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	4c	4,480$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.72	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	6c	4,246$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.58	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e50…d347backed Yes	6c	4,000$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	6c	3,475$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.03	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes	6c	3,275$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	431	53.6%231 W · 200 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	3,162$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.57	392	9.4%37 W · 355 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d86…2182backed Yes	5c	3,075$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.52	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…8030backed Yes	5c	3,067$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.22	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64cd…3b2dbacked Yes	6c	2,716$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes	5c	2,387$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.31	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-66%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes	5c	2,365$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.48	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4388…09b3backed Yes	6c	2,150$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.44	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	5cpaid	+146.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	2,093$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.53	639	42.7%273 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes	5c	2,049$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.04	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	5c	2,000$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	4c	1,909$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.95	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes	3c	1,900$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8158…0fe3backed Yes	5c	1,827$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	9cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Yes	6c	1,825$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	6c	1,800$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.16	188	37.8%71 W · 117 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes	6c	1,788$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes	7c	1,738$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.15	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes	6c	1,678$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.76	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.8wins	-0.17per pick	28cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes	5c	1,605$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.59	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes	3c	1,520$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.06	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Yes	5c	1,504$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b16…a327backed Yes	7c	1,485$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.2	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4e…0432backed Yes	6c	1,350$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab5f…aab9backed Yes	8c	1,316$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.73	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes	8c	1,298$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Yes	4c	1,291$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes	6c	1,221$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.68	130	21.5%28 W · 102 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e4adbacked Yes	5c	1,202$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes	2c	1,151$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.49	927	54.9%509 W · 418 L	-19.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes	7c	1,136$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.52	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes	6c	1,108$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.44	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…2e1cbacked Yes	7c	1,098$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26aa…31f4backed Yes	5c	1,060$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd58b…0c63backed Yes	9c	1,053$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-7.9wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes	5c	1,041$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.9	291	45.4%132 W · 159 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbc…37d0backed Yes	6c	1,031$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	4c	1,028$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.88	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	4cpaid	+155.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c63…8974backed Yes	9c	1,016$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.85	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	23cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes	5c	1,013$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.23	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	6c	1,002$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.09	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7268…c903backed Yes	6c	1,000$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-5.3wins	-0.33per pick	52cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes	6c	1,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.93	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b6…0d6dbacked Yes	5c	1,000$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4098…403cbacked Yes	5c	1,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Yes	6c	999.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes	7c	999$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.93	182	49.5%90 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes	6c	961.48$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.39	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes	5c	898.77$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.35	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x525a…d474backed Yes	8c	870$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	861.02$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.31	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+101.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	801.7$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.99	1,466	44.1%647 W · 819 L	+44.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes	6c	793.43$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.66	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2b…ce9abacked Yes	8c	789$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfecf…3c29backed Yes	8c	765$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Yes	4c	749.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.53	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9205…ce7fbacked Yes	7c	733.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187d…e56dbacked Yes	8c	725$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7687…d750backed Yes	7c	724.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes	6c	702.29$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.35	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes	9c	685.12$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	161	57.1%92 W · 69 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes	5c	680.79$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.04	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes	6c	678.93$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.63	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9dd2…53e3backed Yes	8c	674$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes	5c	665.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.45	666	45.5%303 W · 363 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bc…5788backed Yes	8c	661$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdf…4c1dbacked Yes	7c	652$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event