MLB · resolved market

Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68a14da906e9e7cd029f77fcbf8abc7396c5923e14973751a94c99f6daa9d7b8

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 21, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,890,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,356,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,890,661 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Yes	27c	217,625$59,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59,628.61	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes	25c	79,228$20,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,110.61	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	8c	50,782$3,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,870.96	932	40.5%377 W · 555 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Yes	23c	50,394$11,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,767.74	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-11.7wins	-0.13per pick	59cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes	26c	47,332$12,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,235.27	550	53.6%295 W · 255 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	6c	45,965$2,639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,638.89	81	25.9%21 W · 60 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Yes	4c	43,719$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.21	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes	5c	33,466$1,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,808.88	291	45.4%132 W · 159 L	+15.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	16c	30,399$4,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,967.8	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	20c	19,371$3,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,962.29	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes	8c	19,354$1,630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,629.56	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-83.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes	9c	18,772$1,743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.66	94	62.8%59 W · 35 L	+11.0wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	18c	18,637$3,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,419.81	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+52%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes	0c	18,268$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.54	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	17c	18,034$3,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,052.47	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Yes	15c	18,014$2,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,737.05	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	12c	15,596$1,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,839.83	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…5384backed Yes	33c	15,080$5,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,041.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+87%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Yes	26c	14,929$3,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,863.12	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+76%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes	15c	13,030$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes	7c	12,701$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.61	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	7c	12,374$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.86	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	1c	11,474$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.96	26	0%0 W · 26 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	3c	7,865$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.98	266	42.1%112 W · 154 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No	64c	7,659$4,892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,767.2	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes	7c	7,530$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	7c	6,964$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.38	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa16f…6df1backed Yes	4c	6,813$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.17	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Yes	15c	6,558$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes	2c	6,386$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.61	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-83.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd3…f7d3backed Yes	13c	6,322$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.19	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Yes	10c	6,063$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes	21c	5,886$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.58	961	33.9%326 W · 635 L	-38.9wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes	18c	5,880$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.02	103	28.2%29 W · 74 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a04…793dbacked Yes	6c	5,806$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.31	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes	4c	5,645$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.31	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f5a…5a0abacked Yes	16c	5,335$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9c3…973ebacked Yes	4c	5,051$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	11c	4,888$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.95	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	13c	4,659$625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.07	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	1c	4,330$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes	4c	4,308$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.09	188	37.8%71 W · 117 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	37c	4,255$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.68	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Yes	0c	4,141$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	16c	3,893$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$605.25	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes	5c	3,879$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.98	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes	13c	3,732$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.25	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-66%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Yes	6c	3,593$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.45	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed83…a91fbacked Yes	29c	3,500$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.75	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.3wins	-0.29per pick	42cpaid	-66%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3753…9cb5backed Yes	3c	3,343$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0d…b8f7backed Yes	14c	3,132$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	3,083$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.02	392	9.4%37 W · 355 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	2c	3,040$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.92	1,212	52.1%631 W · 581 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Yes	23c	3,000$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46a4…fa19backed Yes	3c	2,940$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328a…224abacked Yes	3c	2,708$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.38	25	4%1 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	12cpaid	-90.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb47…709dbacked Yes	18c	2,503$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	10c	2,408$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.15	167	25.1%42 W · 125 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes	25c	2,392$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.94	927	54.9%509 W · 418 L	-19.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes	16c	2,336$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes	35c	2,240$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.96	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes	16c	2,178$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	260	55%143 W · 117 L	+21.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e61…a88abacked Yes	9c	2,167$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.14	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes	15c	2,102$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.22	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	18c	2,071$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.71	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff8b…effcbacked Yes	9c	2,047$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.67	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes	11c	2,030$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64cd…3b2dbacked Yes	9c	1,982$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.43	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes	4c	1,952$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.39	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a4e…0bdabacked No	75c	1,858$1,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$458.79	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	8c	1,851$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.86	215	38.6%83 W · 132 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa310…4c56backed Yes	7c	1,842$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	23c	1,693$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.08	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95bc…9f00backed Yes	15c	1,610$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.44	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd702…019cbacked Yes	15c	1,585$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8db4…9c07backed Yes	5c	1,579$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.74	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c21…d6bfbacked Yes	13c	1,530$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.95	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+99%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbf…f580backed Yes	7c	1,512$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.85	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…af7dbacked Yes	4c	1,473$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.92	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…f89cbacked Yes	5c	1,467$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.75	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes	10c	1,461$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.06	431	53.6%231 W · 200 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29dc…75dabacked Yes	16c	1,419$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.71	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9a…cd58backed Yes	3c	1,397$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x297c…a87bbacked Yes	3c	1,350$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.74	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes	28c	1,310$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e8…579ebacked Yes	3c	1,231$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes	4c	1,208$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-82%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5fca…22e4backed Yes	17c	1,200$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Yes	30c	1,179$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes	17c	1,172$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b26…9bc4backed Yes	2c	1,103$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60eb…a6d8backed Yes	2c	1,100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12f3…61e5backed Yes	3c	1,090$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	17c	1,087$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.18	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-68%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2e…034ebacked Yes	19c	1,054$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	36c	1,050$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.09	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	13c	1,038$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.32	639	42.7%273 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…b051backed Yes	19c	1,008$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.86	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa318…0c71backed Yes	10c	1,004$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.23	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf4…1744backed Yes	7c	1,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.03	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event