TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5998…f89c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$188.24
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Counter-Strike: SportsBetExpert vs LAG Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked SportsBetExpert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.16
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$18.74
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$22.58
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO5) - PGL Bucharest: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: North American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.15
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.9%+$26.18
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Voca (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.21
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.98
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$396.86
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.55
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.03
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.78
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$36.52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.35
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.75
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+386.5%+$143
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.5
Will Byron Buxton win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$101.25
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.3
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.77
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.45
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.9
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.6
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$61.19
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.3
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$40.79
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+495.8%+$748.94
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.21
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 FedEx Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$183
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+124%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+346.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+346.4%+$51.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$39.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+102.1%+$40.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.