Us Politics · resolved market
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf17cab6c10db437707c6cb88e30b9688046207eacb529291f4256c3b2cab5f28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 42c | 11,364$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.16 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 61c | 9,087$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 44c | 6,041$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 4,586$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed No | 64c | 4,107$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 59c | 3,994$2,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.32 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 36c | 3,316$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.77 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,962$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.98 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 17c | 2,919$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 18c | 2,790$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 78c | 2,758$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 44c | 2,527$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.46 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 47c | 2,396$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.63 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 40c | 2,183$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.54 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,052$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.91 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 61c | 2,040$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.01 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 54c | 1,654$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.15 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c4…a970backed Yes | 25c | 1,588$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 57c | 1,529$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 1,522$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.09 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked No | 46c | 1,500$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 35c | 1,348$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.35 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 62c | 1,326$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.35 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 73c | 1,280$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.21 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 15c | 1,263$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.33 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 58c | 1,244$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.93 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 18c | 1,223$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 42c | 1,217$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.76 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 32c | 1,200$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 47c | 1,112$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.17 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,110$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.38 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 1,109$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…0afabacked Yes | 8c | 1,102$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 59c | 1,075$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20e…d622backed No | 79c | 1,074$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 61c | 1,049$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.65 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 21c | 1,025$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 51c | 1,022$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd0…8af7backed Yes | 51c | 1,012$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +236.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 37c | 999.98$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed No | 51c | 999.83$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.71 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…0164backed No | 50c | 969.04$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 52c | 968.35$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.59 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…3f0ebacked No | 48c | 947.63$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 43c | 888$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.27 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…a0e4backed Yes | 55c | 887.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 72c | 812$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…701cbacked Yes | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d5…3ba6backed No | 73c | 795.08$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed No | 61c | 768.32$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 26c | 767.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 19c | 758.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.77 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 56c | 733.03$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 78c | 732.88$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 70c | 712.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…ee56backed No | 52c | 696.43$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 49c | 684.43$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.15 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 682.8$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.69 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 68c | 648.05$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 9c | 646.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed Yes | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 25c | 580$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3421…5cafbacked No | 51c | 576.93$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 68c | 573.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.77 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 52c | 565.19$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.76 | 175 | 44.6%78 W · 97 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 69c | 557.75$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 17c | 555$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 527.6$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5e0fbacked No | 51c | 505$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 23c | 499.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 75c | 499.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…8433backed No | 41c | 486.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…5b93backed Yes | 55c | 455.1$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…1fe3backed No | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…0025backed No | 54c | 439.45$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 35c | 431.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 43c | 409.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed No | 52c | 402.04$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a24…71e8backed Yes | 34c | 401.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 50c | 398.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked No | 50c | 396.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…8b96backed No | 45c | 379.19$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed No | 53c | 378.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 48c | 375.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 38c | 373.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked No | 40c | 372.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…9f01backed Yes | 46c | 371.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.