TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa970…d60d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$12.46
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$45.31
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.18
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+184.1%+$32.4
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$38.64
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+36%+$5.29
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.09
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals - Who wins the toss?backed Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$117.52
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the toss?backed Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$102.4
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+265.2%+$529.35
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$138.6
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.6
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$108
Perle Labs FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Perle Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$312
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$341.99
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.16
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,555.09
Pump.fun airdrop in Q2 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,729Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$3,052.85
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$115.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+51%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+25.9%+$111.36
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$200
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$105.56
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$52.55
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.18
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+999.8%+$1,009.81
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+236.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+325.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$91.29
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$66
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+133.8%+$1,447.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+46%+$144.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$252.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$94.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$48.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$346.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.