TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$235,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c27,055$5,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,267.882,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c15,364$9,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,907.993,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over1c9,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-67.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under60c9,555$5,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,804.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under43c8,158$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,657.647100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over1c7,051$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.512528%7 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Over1c6,836$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.511936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…f183backed Over40c5,285$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over27c5,228$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421.1412832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c4,663$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.2543344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over50c3,733$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.6323461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under35c3,452$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,251.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over50c3,169$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.871668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c3,099$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.552860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over50c2,915$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c2,831$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.351833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over34c2,824$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9601225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Over27c2,816$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-48.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over2c2,782$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.131450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over64c2,550$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.31911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.43per pick54cpaid-77.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over62c1,930$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.067767.5%52 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over25c1,819$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005729.8%17 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over36c1,750$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Under60c1,746$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under72c1,596$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.941656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…48c1backed Under61c1,586$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.951216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-64.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over20c1,484$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.122,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Over47c1,326$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under67c1,317$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.342055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over46c1,292$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under49c1,214$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Over1c1,208$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over27c1,207$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over22c1,177$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under54c1,100$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.994645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c1,089$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.312254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4706331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+48.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over25c987.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504219%8 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over27c972.22$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.538144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under72c919.99$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.67354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under63c859.83$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.0578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f9…7c37backed Under44c827.08$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under63c792.56$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.989141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f7…167abacked Over44c729.55$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under53c727.6$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.972352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over27c709.97$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.691,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Over27c701.37$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.371338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over32c685.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.081631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Under7c672.27$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.212222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under58c628.65$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.011546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Under53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over8c599.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.981741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick20cpaid+141.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over56c559.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Under57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under53c524.45$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c522$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1838047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61dd…bb24backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1409338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Over46c499.98$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.992020%4 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-61.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under75c494.46$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under42c488.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under73c473$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.719345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under73c419.85$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.361,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under73c414$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7888048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over28c406$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1117233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Under74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf47c…7813backed Over47c402.17$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over42c394.44$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.55371.7%38 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Over64c366.53$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.951844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over54c363.63$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.366855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeaf…5e01backed Over43c329.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over55c303.53$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4bf…23f6backed Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Over25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over30c299.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.969431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over40c299.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.697829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over67c283.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under13c280$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+250.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c277.82$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1162,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa970…d60dbacked Under67c276.79$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under14c264$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.081520%3 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.746363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over9c258$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2235944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde4…7bfdbacked Under62c257.07$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c256.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7981440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ad…eb58backed Under80c252.84$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over35c247.36$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0217958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Under54c245$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.