Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x025ba94af96e92eaf93a8ee909cae2c34ce8bd8a0e33d9dad23844536f3655a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aston Villa FCof Aston Villa FC, SC Freiburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Aston Villa FC | 36c | 28,382$10,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,288.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed SC Freiburg | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Aston Villa FC | 30c | 10,136$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,121.11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 6,666$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 6,300$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Aston Villa FC | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +165%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SC Freiburg | 59c | 3,124$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.83 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Aston Villa FC | 61c | 2,241$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.58 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked SC Freiburg | 65c | 2,001$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.62 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SC Freiburg | 70c | 1,981$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.51 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked SC Freiburg | 65c | 1,962$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Aston Villa FC | 67c | 1,898$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.46 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Freiburg | 65c | 1,861$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.26 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…227fbacked Aston Villa FC | 33c | 1,536$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked SC Freiburg | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed SC Freiburg | 4c | 1,394$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 1,120$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.64 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 1,030$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 935.26$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 920$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SC Freiburg | 68c | 895.47$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.31 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SC Freiburg | 65c | 846.55$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.33 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Aston Villa FC | 32c | 788.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 752.77$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…8e8cbacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 705.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked SC Freiburg | 56c | 692.86$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked SC Freiburg | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…ee46backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Aston Villa FC | 55c | 558.42$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked SC Freiburg | 67c | 432.84$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aston Villa FC | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Aston Villa FC | 27c | 399.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 20cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed SC Freiburg | 68c | 366.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…71e1backed Aston Villa FC | 32c | 301.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SC Freiburg | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed Aston Villa FC | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Aston Villa FC | 35c | 299.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed SC Freiburg | 55c | 289.74$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.35 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 289.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed SC Freiburg | 65c | 283.14$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 279$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 261.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked SC Freiburg | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 221.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Aston Villa FC | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed SC Freiburg | 68c | 208.31$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Aston Villa FC | 51c | 203.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…9c01backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 200.09$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Aston Villa FC | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SC Freiburg | 7c | 198$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…875ebacked Aston Villa FC | 32c | 168.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 161.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Aston Villa FC | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…27aabacked SC Freiburg | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…a150backed Aston Villa FC | 32c | 144.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Aston Villa FC | 36c | 144.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 143$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Aston Villa FC | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…f725backed SC Freiburg | 69c | 137.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c72…8101backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 135.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014e…f695backed Aston Villa FC | 37c | 123.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Aston Villa FC | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 111.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed SC Freiburg | 68c | 105.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 103.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Aston Villa FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…26d9backed Aston Villa FC | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked SC Freiburg | 66c | 99.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 96.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d9…58f5backed SC Freiburg | 69c | 93.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…a7c2backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 89.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…1307backed SC Freiburg | 22c | 88.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked SC Freiburg | 67c | 88.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Aston Villa FC | 49c | 86.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…dcdebacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 82.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Aston Villa FC | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 77.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked SC Freiburg | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…d1d5backed Aston Villa FC | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked SC Freiburg | 69c | 74.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…fe99backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 73.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a7…3fb0backed SC Freiburg | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed SC Freiburg | 51c | 69.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed SC Freiburg | 65c | 64.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed SC Freiburg | 67c | 62.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Aston Villa FC | 80c | 62.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Aston Villa FC | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e66…0fa6backed Aston Villa FC | 32c | 62.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +140.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Aston Villa FC | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SC Freiburg | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)Aston Villa FC won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.