TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$417,417
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,417 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 567 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No56c60,899$34,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,727.63,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c46,748$23,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,424.7791950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes48c45,418$21,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,817.23135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes51c38,990$19,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,981.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes51c29,999$15,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.365259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No53c21,143$11,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,988.772,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Yes50c19,721$9,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,860.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c18,863$9,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,512.118254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c14,101$6,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,153.761,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes50c13,792$6,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,895.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No49c13,384$6,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,825.842,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c10,712$5,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,116.743344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No50c10,161$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,060.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No56c9,061$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.172259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50010960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes46c8,700$3,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,958.845653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c7,463$4,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,317.032,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes51c7,133$3,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,637.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No50c6,568$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.991650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No49c6,514$3,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,332.7438144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes49c6,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.971145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes36c5,088$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8201225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes49c5,051$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes32c4,777$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.8420132.3%65 W · 136 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes47c4,610$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Yes50c4,590$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes50c4,426$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+96.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes49c4,352$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c4,315$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,157.283745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Yes44c4,254$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes32c3,946$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.523636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes50c3,512$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.798369.9%58 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes48c3,382$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.48911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.43per pick54cpaid-77.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1956…750ebacked Yes37c3,337$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes33c3,207$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0551145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes49c3,104$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes26c3,043$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7786119.7%12 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Yes45c2,999$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c2,627$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.4976941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes38c2,500$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95011127%30 W · 81 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No52c2,245$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.261566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c2,233$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.3996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea2…b15fbacked Yes51c2,230$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes49c2,204$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ff…6754backed Yes50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No54c2,142$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.0138453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes23c2,060$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed No55c1,856$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.192352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed No52c1,710$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes51c1,522$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.411855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes51c1,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7706558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.799858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5fc…dbc6backed No50c1,380$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked No51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No66c1,160$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.569141.8%38 W · 53 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+69.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No53c1,100$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52111657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Yes49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No50c1,088$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54429470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d9f…b0d4backed Yes50c1,084$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…98e3backed Yes38c1,049$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes52c1,008$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed No54c1,000$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.054264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50016242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf86…984cbacked No51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No49c1,000$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.493956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c960.11$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.951,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes31c959.8$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.363237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Yes52c924.4$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No50c884$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4421764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No50c868.94$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.932030%6 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No51c854.21$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Yes49c806.95$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.42157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7f…bb6dbacked No50c804$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…76a1backed Yes50c799.95$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c784.79$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.151,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3114744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed No60c700$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No50c699.7$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.714443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No60c670.02$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes33c670$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.922850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No59c658.82$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.8811643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes12c650.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.