TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7c7…44b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Mls at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT7943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.37
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+68%+$453.17
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,790.3
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,279.82
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,043.24
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$3,082.74
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$980
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,588
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,230
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,020.74
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,361.39
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,122.73
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$3,101.62
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,200
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,288
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,172.83
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$2,124.89
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,942.77
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,600
DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,120.93
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,094.87
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$817Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$817.05
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$875.51
Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,350
Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$989Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$989.44
Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,849Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$1,841.24
Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$55
Vasteraas SK vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$238.97
Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,152.94
AFC Ajax leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+142%+$567.97
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. FC Famalicão: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$1,472.01
FC Anyang vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Kashima Antlers vs. Avispa Fukuoka: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,570Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$3,013.82
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.99
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$1,815.41
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.24
Kawasaki Frontale vs. FC Machida Zelvia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$715.55
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashiwa Reysol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66%+$459.74
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$652.63
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$804.46
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+233.4%+$673.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$385.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143%+$2,860.85
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$812.5
AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.15
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$900
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Montréal vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.99
Inter Miami CF vs. Portland Timbers: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.