TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,440,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,578,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,440,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 833 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over57c290,000$165,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,699.9842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under43c84,776$36,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,751.4313448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over56c75,823$42,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,543.5577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Under42c71,429$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0009045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under43c68,156$29,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,511.0517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over59c56,885$33,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,132.094,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under44c55,813$24,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,557.5511647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under40c51,095$20,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,479.6215456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under42c50,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,20013543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over56c50,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,00014343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under40c49,189$19,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,675.5615249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked Under44c40,038$17,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,616.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under44c40,000$17,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,4008349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over60c40,000$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,00053448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over59c33,214$19,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,616.692,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over65c31,094$20,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,963.012,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…c5cbbacked Under44c26,060$11,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,466.384348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Under44c26,000$11,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,439.975745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under42c25,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6009650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under42c22,850$9,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,596.989345.2%42 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c22,696$9,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,084.122,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under44c22,393$9,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,853.048348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over57c20,912$11,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,992.1623942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under43c20,677$8,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,898.212255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c19,007$11,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,690.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under18c17,407$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under42c16,962$7,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,124.067448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over56c15,791$8,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,947.8974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under42c14,286$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.127452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Under43c10,990$4,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,725.77851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Under41c10,732$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4006930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under39c10,535$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,108.4933538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Over60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0005328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under44c10,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Under18c9,992$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.544531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over59c8,888$5,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.8219038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under43c8,703$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.751,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c8,465$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.691,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,520933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under42c7,500$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1508041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Over58c7,179$4,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.012842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Under45c7,060$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.48453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10f…e4aebacked Over59c7,000$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.7614454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c6,779$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.622,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74b6…9823backed Under44c6,704$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.867754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Over56c6,671$3,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.2422139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over60c6,667$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.678672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under40c6,250$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under40c5,854$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.691,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over58c5,404$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,281.51,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over56c5,326$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.8118633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under16c5,221$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.3344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over58c5,173$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.837943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under44c5,009$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.810146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Over56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2006737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over58c4,888$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.965345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over60c4,864$2,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.7870244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Over59c4,780$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under44c4,685$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over60c4,482$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.6732739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over57c4,427$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Over57c4,420$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.63754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c4,229$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.643,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under41c4,082$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.7532031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76023046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over57c3,973$2,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.3928133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under39c3,731$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.7639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over59c3,658$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.7131545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18f3…b4e9backed Over56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.431464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over63c3,523$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.832,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over60c3,513$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.392,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under31c3,277$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Under41c3,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…fb7bbacked Over57c2,807$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.023366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over80c2,670$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa451…449ebacked Over59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.373638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0506749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…54a1backed Over58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05012738.6%49 W · 78 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over57c2,500$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08537754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Under44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9615147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over56c2,411$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.718639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over57c2,313$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under45c2,279$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.752441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over60c2,216$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.5733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c2,126$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.711,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Under41c2,073$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Over59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4de7…1982backed Under40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8208053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Under40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80032647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8608748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8806061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd115…065dbacked Under44c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.974440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.