Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2510fdc6133e98b6110579761a8e03e19046b265f8893cc384f8cb4d0504b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 60c | 2,461$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.06 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…467abacked Over | 39c | 1,291$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.09 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,107$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 39c | 892.17$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.86 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 61c | 868.69$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.9 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 40c | 689.79$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.52 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 37c | 476.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Over | 44c | 455$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 40c | 328.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 315.75$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 37c | 299.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 38c | 260$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Over | 38c | 250$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…784abacked Over | 41c | 244.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 7c | 199.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 62c | 198.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 177.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 39c | 165.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…73a5backed Under | 63c | 155.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 41c | 120.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f81…fdffbacked Under | 61c | 111.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 41c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 61c | 64.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 40c | 59.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 41.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…e170backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Under | 64c | 38.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…a3c3backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 159 | 37.1%59 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Under | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…c4f5backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed Under | 61c | 19.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 59c | 18.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed Under | 61c | 18.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 5.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to AdvanceMexico won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Mexico vs. Ecuador: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Ecuador (-3.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Mexico (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Mexico (-4.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.