TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,261
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,261 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under80c12,577$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,576.5510057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under80c8,681$6,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.2511149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c8,612$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.08362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over11c8,249$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over13c5,840$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.241,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over21c4,444$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.2432029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over5c4,392$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over5c4,154$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over6c3,750$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22514829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over5c3,581$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.372,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over6c3,150$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over6c2,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over6c2,419$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.1512117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c2,403$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.042,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over15c2,358$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.062,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over12c2,253$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.7937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over7c2,100$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc56…cd2dbacked Over6c1,997$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.72633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over4c1,766$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.372,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over13c1,301$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.164,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under79c1,166$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8613461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over12c1,067$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c1,013$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012862.5%80 W · 48 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over21c800.33$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.011,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over6c733.17$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9922135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over12c610.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1871939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over20c598.25$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6558942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Over5c590$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.55149%25 W · 26 L+13.7wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+416.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over5c576.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.837022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over20c558.03$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.961,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over6c534.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Under79c505.5$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.56063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked Under79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e6…9e72backed Over6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3121…967cbacked Over6c480$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over4c374.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.831,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over5c373.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Over22c356.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4323427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e44…f303backed Over6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208419%16 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over16c320.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Under80c313.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.464961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d64…0b24backed Over5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157816.7%13 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Over21c299.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.399454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over6c288$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2878835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Over25c250$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3328326.5%75 W · 208 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0e4…2e5bbacked Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509561.1%58 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over5c242.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1195739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Over10c202$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6531232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6a…77b8backed Under77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812181%17 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under71c183$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.072,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over10c180$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.432317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254a…bc44backed Over15c166.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256144.3%27 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…2b3abacked Over23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over8c130$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2b…6f05backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.586478.1%50 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd65f…a4e4backed Over16c124.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Over22c124.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.313256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.823736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over10c108$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.162,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe149…668cbacked Under78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Under80c101.2$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.245967.8%40 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2428544.6%127 W · 158 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under78c99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7816150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under78c88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.362,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511839.8%47 W · 71 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x499c…2f8ebacked Under79c48.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15578.2%43 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ec7…fd3dbacked Under78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x267d…5019backed Under80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.513551.1%69 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf9…be31backed Under79c35.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under78c28.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3533740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d44…73b5backed Under78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Under78c20.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.437062.9%44 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under78c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3498439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.