TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd65f…a4e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
Counter-Strike: Voca vs NuTorious - Map 1 Winnerbacked NuTorious · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.51
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - BLAST Open North American Qualifier Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.14
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.25
Counter-Strike: Subtop De France vs Julie&cie (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Julie&cie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked MASQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsbacked MIBR fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.13
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winnerbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.12
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$7.56
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$9.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Rinderknech (-1.5) vs Tarvet (+1.5)backed Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.