CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b2ababa210b72405af297bad03e38f209460c98ef0df0e8775a1d0b534a7d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Bounty Hunters Esports, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 1,515$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.08 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial | 40c | 1,384$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.66 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Imperial | 40c | 1,364$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.26 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 820.27$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.24 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Imperial | 34c | 606.79$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.63 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 40c | 269.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Imperial | 50c | 257.62$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.81 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 257.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Imperial | 31c | 237.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 48c | 188.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Imperial | 70c | 142.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 43c | 122.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Imperial | 36c | 109.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Imperial | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed Imperial | 47c | 59.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 49.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3080backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 49.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2221…92adbacked Imperial | 31c | 47.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +174.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…a4e4backed Imperial | 54c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…91f7backed Imperial | 67c | 37.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Imperial | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Imperial | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.