Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74c46bafd088db6ff403da599af225143ac663f23a479da90484e2ff3a06f9a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pixel Luminaof Twisted Saints Esports, Pixel Lumina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Pixel Lumina | 62c | 1,329$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.99 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed Pixel Lumina | 68c | 1,223$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Twisted Saints Esports | 18c | 1,096$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.04 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 547.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 515.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Twisted Saints Esports | 39c | 490$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Pixel Lumina | 64c | 401.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 398.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Twisted Saints Esports | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Twisted Saints Esports | 31c | 230.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 179.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Twisted Saints Esports | 24c | 173.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 39c | 167.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Twisted Saints Esports | 42c | 94.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 22c | 66.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd65f…a4e4backed Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 65.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pixel Lumina | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Pixel Lumina | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Pixel Lumina | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pixel Lumina | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group APixel Lumina won
- Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 WinnerPixel Lumina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.