Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482f9759851a45c772d12a1ad96ffbce849b1ed4906cb1de201d0d234629999d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pixel Luminaof Twisted Saints Esports, Pixel Lumina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd472…a5b2backed Pixel Lumina | 79c | 8,369$6,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.77 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Twisted Saints Esports | 17c | 7,417$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.89 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Twisted Saints Esports | 30c | 926.66$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 423.22$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…61debacked Twisted Saints Esports | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Twisted Saints Esports | 30c | 215.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Pixel Lumina | 66c | 214.73$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Twisted Saints Esports | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Twisted Saints Esports | 13c | 190.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Twisted Saints Esports | 22c | 190.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Twisted Saints Esports | 8c | 189.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Twisted Saints Esports | 9c | 107.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 467 | 46.7%218 W · 249 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Pixel Lumina | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Pixel Lumina | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed Pixel Lumina | 70c | 18.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Pixel Lumina | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 326 | 57.4%187 W · 139 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group APixel Lumina won
- Valorant: Twisted Saints Esports vs Pixel Lumina - Map 1 WinnerPixel Lumina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.